2022 PGA Championship odds, picks: Tiger Woods predictions from same model that nailed exact Masters finish

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Golf legend Tiger Woods is part of the 2022 PGA Championship field at Southern Hills Country Club
Cameron Smith secured his fifth career PGA Tour title at the Players Championship in March, collecting $3.6 million in the process. Smith has finished on top of the leaderboard twice this season and will try to win his first major at the 2022 PGA Championship, which gets underway on Thursday, May 19, from Southern Hills Championship Course in Tulsa. With a victory at Southern Hills, Smith will become the first Australian to win the PGA Championship since Jason Day in 2015.

Tiger Woods

The latest 2022 PGA Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Smith at 16-1, the same as two-time major champion Dustin Johnson. Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm are going off as the 11-1 co-favorites, while Tiger Woods is among the 2022 PGA Championship long shots at 40-1.Before locking in your 2022 PGA Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, it’s up almost $7,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. The model also nailed Tiger Woods’ exact finishing position at Augusta National before the tournament started (47th). In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.


Model’s top 2022 PGA Championship predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2022: McIlroy, a 20-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles at Southern Hills and barely cracks the top 10. McIlroy had a sensational showing at the Masters, securing a runner-up finish at Augusta National. McIlroy has now finished 13th or better in four of his six starts this season.

However, McIlroy has struggled at the PGA Championship since lifting the Wanamaker Trophy in 2014. In fact, the 32-year-old has finished outside the top 30 in three of his last four starts at the PGA Championship. In addition, McIlroy is hitting less than 60 percent of fairways off the tee this season, which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard at Southern Hills. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in a loaded 2022 PGA Championship field.

The model has also revealed where Tiger Woods will finish in the 2022 PGA Championship. Woods put on a valiant effort at Augusta National, making the cut and finishing 47th just 14 months after suffering a serious leg injury during a single car crash. Woods opened with a one-under 71 at Augusta National, but back-to-back 78s on the weekend spoiled his return to competition.

Woods’ ball-striking was on full display at the Masters, and the 15-time major champion will have a much easier walk at Southern Hills compared to the severe undulations at Augusta National. Woods has won 82 events on the PGA Tour in his career, tied with Sam Snead for the most ever. He’s finished on top of the leaderboard four times at the PGA Championship, and the model just locked in its Tiger Woods PGA Championship picks here.

How to make 2022 PGA Championship picks

The model is also targeting three golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

2022 PGA Championship odds, field

Scottie Scheffler +1100
Jon Rahm +1100
Rory McIlroy +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Justin Thomas +1400
Dustin Johnson +1600
Cameron Smith +1600
Brooks Koepka +1800
Viktor Hovland +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Xander Schauffele +2200
Shane Lowry +2500
Will Zalatoris +3000
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Daniel Berger +3500
Tony Finau +3500
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Tyrrell Hatton +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Tiger Woods +4000
Sungjae Im +4500
Patrick Reed +5000
Abraham Ancer +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Webb Simpson +5000
Paul Casey +5000
Adam Scott +6500
Justin Rose +6500
Marc Leishman +6500
Luke List +6500
Jason Day +6500
Si-Woo Kim +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Jason Kokrak +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Harris English +8000
Billy Horschel +8000
Thomas Pieters +10000
Matthew Wolff +10000
Cameron Tringale +10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Charl Schwartzel +10000
Bubba Watson +10000
Lee Westwood +10000
Max Homa +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Phil Mickelson +10000
Robert Macintyre +10000
Matt Wallace +10000
Ian Poulter +12500
Kevin Kisner +12500
Cameron Davis +12500
Cameron Champ +12500
Garrick Higgo +12500
Charley Hoffman +12500
Tom Hoge +12500
Lucas Herbert +12500
Branden Grace +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Ryan Palmer +12500
Matt Kuchar +12500
Matt Jones +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Harry Higgs +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Kevin Na +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Bernd Wiesberger +15000
Padraig Harrington +15000
Hudson Swafford +15000
Martin Kaymer +20000
Lucas Glover +20000

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